Happy New Year!
Initially, I was going to kick off the new year with another installment of Five Thoughts, but there aren’t many stories to discuss. The poker world was quite dormant during the holidays – much to the delight of the PokerNews editorial staff – and I'll conjure plenty of thoughts soon with the tenth annual PokerStars Caribbean Adventure, and the Aussie Millions right around the corner.
Instead, I thought I’d take this time and lay out a few predictions for 2013. The following prognostications are more for entertaining reading than anything else, and I’ve reduced the number to...
(2) The final tables of both high roller events are pretty mutually exclusive so I would say no unless Blom plays in both, in which case he will final table both. (3) Seriously ... the GPI index player of the year is not necessarily an overlap to the group of players well-heeled enough to play in these events. Global yes but predicting final table status? Nope. (4) Howard Lederer w probably play but it is a real risk to the WSOP event. The more time passes without any U.S. payouts, the more likely that some poker-playing nut will show up. I would strongly urge the WSOP organization to have security nearby, if only to protect the WSOP from the avalanche of bad publicity. Howard Lederer would be better off spending 2013 playing internationally. After all, the U.S. is currently dying globally in the poker industry. (5) No FullTilt funds in 2013? Pretty safe bet and you might as well throw in 2014 while you are at it. The U.S. DOJ has an active Online Poker Prohibition for the entire U.S. so returning cash to online poker players has to be as urgent as dinner invitation to drug cartel kingpins. (6) Phil Ivey is a professional poker player and globally poker is exploding ... except in the U.S. so if Phil Ivey plays in the WSOP he is doing it for charity since the real poker action is Macau and Europe. If he plays in the WSOP I have to agree with you that he will bag two bracelets. That said he will certainly play in Paris and at the WSOPE he can pick up a few there ... so going out on my personal limb here Phil Ivey has a total of FIVE bracelets in 2013 if he plays in the WSOP and the WSOPE. (7) Greg Who? Wish him the best but Merson was not on the radar cash-wise in 2013 simply because he was not on the radar cash-wise before he bagged the Main Event. (8) Canada will continue to rock WSOP bracelets in 2013, if only because in Canada there is no weird government online poker prohibition like the U.S. so the poker talent just keeps on growing. (9) Paul Volpe ... sure, good egg with excellent chances but top-gun performances? No. There is a large group of pocketfive members/young guns out there (Chris Moorman, Calvin Anderson, Shannon Shorr, the list is really long ...) that are a solid presence on the live poker circuit and pretty determined to win. I would rather pick Matthew Waxman and Chris Moorman just to be difficult and probably right ha ha. (10) Online poker by state will happen because there is a ton of money in it and smart States will get the show on the road. I say this while also saying that the U.S. DOJ will continue to be idiots and enforce their weird Online Poker Prohibition.