Getting There?

We're down to just 17 players, and it seems like things are progressing rather well towards an early finish. But the maths would argue.

The average stack is about 333,000 right now, and that gives players about 55 big blinds apiece at the current level. We're losing about 12% of the field per level, and projecting that out puts us well into Level 23 before we reach the final eight. It's always tough to speculate about tournament timing, but the math doesn't lie, and we expect to be in for a long night.