Nate Silver, the creator of the FiveThirtyEight blog and author of The Signal and the Noise, recently joined the PokerNews Podcast to talk about his trip to Melbourne, his poker skills, and the Main Event.
Silver is in today's field and he's doing incredibly well; in fact, he looks to be top five in chips. In a recent hand, Silver opened from the hijack for 4,000 and received a call from Samir Khoueis in the big blind. The latter then checked the and Silver moved all in. Khoueis, who only had 10,000 behind, folded while muttering his frustrations under his breath.
Meanwhile, Ayaz Mahmood has been eliminated from the tournament.
Heinz Kamutzki was all in preflop for 39,600 with the . He was in dominating position against the for Toby Lewis. The flop, turn and river ran out , and Kamutzki doubled up.
We stumbled upon a hand over on Table 43 with around 18,000 already in the pot and a board reading . We're not sure whether or not Jan Collado bet or checked, but we do know 2005 World Series of Poker Main Event champ Joe Hachem had his entire stack of 22,000 out in front of him. Collado was in the tank when we arrived, and we watched him agonize over the call. He counted out chips, leaned back in his chair and stretched all before he flicked his cards to the muck.
"Too early for you to go home, Joe," another player at the table said with a smile.
Despite losing that hand, Collado is still up from the last time we checked in on him.
Chris Haywood opened to 4,000 from under the gun, Fazel Dawood three-bet to 8,600 on his direct left, and the action folded back to Haywood, who four-bet to 19,000. Dawood moved all in for effectively 43,000, and Haywood quickly called, putting himself at risk.
Haywood:
Dawood:
The dealer rapped the table, then delivered an incredible flop: .
Dawood was drawing dead.
The turn was the , and just for kicks and giggles, the completed the board, giving Haywood quads.
He doubled to 90,000 chips, while Dawood slipped to 35,000.
Jay Tan check-called the flop against her opponent for 5,200. The turn was the , and Tan checked again. Her opponent checked behind, and the river was the . Tan led for 11,000, and her opponent called after mulling it over for a minute.
Tan tabled the for a queen-high straight, and her opponent mucked his hand. Tan moved to 240,000 in chips.
Toby Lewis is no more. The Brit had grown short stack here in the first three levels of Day 2 and finally moved all in for his last 7,300 with in the cutoff. Heinz Kamutzki called from the button with , and the blinds got out of the way.
According to the PokerNews Odds Calculator it was essentially a flip as Lewis had a 47.86% chance of survival. That percentage dropped to 24.65% on the flop as Kamutzki tripped up, but Lewis was still drawing live to a non-four heart. The wasn't one and his chances dropped even further to 18.18%. The dealer burned one last time and put out the , the last card Lewis would see in the 2013 Aussie Millions Main Event.
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and Silver moved all in. Khoueis, who only had 10,000 behind, folded while muttering his frustrations under his breath.
. He was in dominating position against the 
for Toby Lewis. The flop, turn and river ran out 
. We're not sure whether or not Jan Collado bet or checked, but we do know 2005 World Series of Poker Main Event champ Joe Hachem had his entire stack of 22,000 out in front of him. Collado was in the tank when we arrived, and we watched him agonize over the call. He counted out chips, leaned back in his chair and stretched all before he flicked his cards to the muck.
completed the board, giving Haywood quads.
flop against her opponent for 5,200. The turn was the 
, and Tan checked again. Her opponent checked behind, and the river was the 
. Tan led for 11,000, and her opponent called after mulling it over for a minute.
for a queen-high straight, and her opponent mucked his hand. Tan moved to 240,000 in chips.
, and the blinds got out of the way.