Pollster Nate Silver's Chances of Winning 2023 WSOP Main Event are Now 0%
FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver went deep in the 2023 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event, but ran into a cooler situation on Day 6 and was sent home during the third level of the session.
The former online poker player appeared on the PokerGO feature table on Wednesday where he spent most of the session with a middling stack. He won a race for his tournament life against Nikita Luther to stay alive at one point, doubling back up to around 45 big blinds, but that was about the end of his good fortune in poker's world championship event.
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Deep Run Comes to an End
Silver is an experienced poker player but he's best known for the political polling model he created for FiveThirtyEight. While his model doesn't definitively predict the outcome of US elections, it does give voters an idea for the chances each candidate has of winning.
If he were to project the probability of him being 2023 world champion, it would now be 0%, but a 100% shot at collecting a nice payday for his impressive deep run in the largest WSOP Main Event ever.
Shortly after Silver busted Stephen Friedrich when A♥J♥ held up against A♦10♠, he was back up to around 40 big blinds, certainly not a horrible spot to be deep in the most prestigious poker tournament in the world. The $12.1 million first place prize was still within reach.
Well, it was until the ultimate nightmare situation occurred. With the blinds at 60,000/120,000, Henry Chan opened to 250,000 with 7♦7♣ before receiving a call from Silver, who was in position, and his 6♦6♣. Tony Dunst, in the big blind, then called with 5♥5♣.
To the flop the three players went, which came 6♥7♠2♠, a dream situation for Silver, or so he thought. Action checked to the political expert who fired out a 330,000 wager with middle set. Dunst folded, while Chan, who had Silver drawing to a one-outer and had his opponent slightly covered, raised it up to 1,400,000.
Silver moved all in for 5,165,000 and received a snap-call. The turn was the Q♣, followed by the harmless 3♦ on the river. There was no way for the former limit hold'em grinder to avoid the disaster. He earned $92,600 for his performance, while Chan moved into the chip lead at over 11 million. The New York native recorded his sixth cash at the 2023 WSOP.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1679289459857293312
The 2023 WSOP Main Event Day 6 action rolls on with 81 remaining players at the time of publishing.
Follow Continued Live Coverage of the Main Event
In this Series
- 1 The 2023 WSOP Main Event is Underway: Jamie Gold Ready for Record to Be Broken
- 2 Agony of Defeat: Poker Player Runs Kings into Aces Twice Vs. Same Opponent, Busts Main Event Day 1
- 3 Espen Jorstad in Action, Ready to Defend World Championship
- 4 July 5, 2019: Reliving the Craziest Day in WSOP Main Event History
- 5 Poker Boom 2.0: 2023 WSOP Main Event Officially the Largest Ever
- 6 Two Players Bust on the First Hand of 2023 WSOP Main Event Day 1D
- 7 The Greatest Show: Hellmuth and Jungleman Make Grand Entrance into 2023 WSOP Main Event
- 8 Ex-Manchester City Striker Sergio Aguero Makes Surprise Entry into 2023 WSOP Main Event
- 9 Would You Fold Kings Preflop on Day 1 of the WSOP Main Event in This Spot?
- 10 Alexandra Botez & 888poker Ambassadors Make Day 2 of Main Event
- 11 Rapper Hoodie Allen Abandons Chips in Poker World Championship for Friend's Wedding
- 12 Online Poker Pioneer Isai Scheinberg Plays WSOP Main Event for the First Time
- 13 Phil Hellmuth Coolered Out of WSOP Main Event by Nicholas "Dirty Diaper" Rigby
- 14 2023 WSOP Main Event Registration Closes w/ 10,043 Entries & $12.1M to Winner
- 15 Tom Dwan Busts WSOP Main Event; What Would You Do Here?
- 16 Popular Rapper Returns in Time for Poker World Championship...And Gets Aces Cracked
- 17 The Muck: Was the WSOP Main Event Payout Structure Absurd?
- 18 Queen on the River Dashes Nicholas Rigby's WSOP Main Event Title Dreams
- 19 Pollster Nate Silver's Chances of Winning 2023 WSOP Main Event are Now 0%
- 20 Nicholas Rigby Busts Chance Kornuth in a 200 Big Blind Pot on Day 5
- 21 Moneymaker, Hachem Bust Day 5; All Past WSOP Main Event Champs Out
- 22 Nicholas Rigby Talks "Dirty Diaper" Strategy in the 2023 WSOP Main Event
- 23 Nightmare Runout Knocks Alexandra Botez Out of the WSOP Main Event
- 24 Father & Daughter Make the Money of the 2023 WSOP Main Event
- 25 Kings Lose to Aces on the Bubble of the 2023 WSOP Main Event
- 26 Do You Know Which Poker Player Just Set the Record of Cashing Seven Consecutive Live WSOP Main Events?
- 27 2023 WSOP Main Event Hands of the Week: Royal Flush Twice in 4 Hands; Miracle Running Kings
- 28 Would You Rather Get a WSOP Main Event Seat for Life or $200,000?
- 29 Alexandra Botez Wants the WSOP Main Event Stream to Be Free; Do You Agree?
- 30 Can Some Fool's Gold Help Adam Walton Capture the 2023 WSOP Main Event Bracelet?
- 31 Jones, Weinman and Walton to Battle for 2023 WSOP Main Event Title
- 32 Pros vs. Jones: One of These 3 Players is Hours Away From Poker Immortality
- 33 Adam Walton Jams 80 Big Blind Stack Into Pocket Aces, Busts WSOP Main Event
- 34 Daniel Weinman Wins Record-Breaking 2023 WSOP Main Event for $12,100,000
- 35 How Much Money Players at 2023 WSOP Main Event Final Table Really Made
