Aussie Millions

Flopping a Bad Gutshot from Out of Position vs. Dan Kelly

Dan Kelly
  • A loose blind defense from @JonathanLittle vs. Dan Kelly leads to playing a gutshot draw from OOP.

  • @JonathanLittle breaks down a hand he played versus the tough Dan Kelly in a $3,000 WSOP event.

This week's hand took place during the middle stage of a $3,000 buy-in no-limit hold'em event at the World Series of Poker. I'd built up a stack of close to 175,000 at 1,000/2,000/300, and the hand begins with me defending my big blind against an opening raise by Dan Kelly.

From middle position, Kelly — who had about 100,000 to begin — had raised to 4,500 and it folded around to me. Kelly (pictured above) is an very strong, thoughtful pro who generally plays a loose-aggressive style — not someone you want to tangle with too much. Even so, getting great pot odds I called with {6-Diamonds}{3-Diamonds}, and the two of us saw a flop come {Q-Spades}{7-Spades}{5-Diamonds}.

I checked and Kelly continued for 4,000. As I discuss in the video below, I only have a junky draw here although the pot odds are still favorable for me to call. The flop also hits my range fairly well (and better than his). I called, bringing the pot to a little over 20,000.

The turn was the {5-Spades}. While I wouldn't have minded betting here I checked, and Kelly checked behind. The river then brought the {Q-Clubs}, putting a second pair on the board.

What does Kelly's range look like after he checks the turn? What should I do here on the river? Take a look at what I decided to do and how things turned out:

After Kelly's check on the turn and that queen fell on the river, my bluffing seems mandatory. As I say, I'm not sure about my sizing with that river bet, but I liked the idea and things worked out this time.

Jonathan Little is a professional poker player and author with over $6,700,000 in live tournament earnings. He writes a weekly educational blog and hosts a podcast at You can follow him on Twitter @JonathanLittle.

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